Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.449081 0.492586 0.539182 0.592920 0.653334 0.719323 0.797083
2026-01-18 0.378741 0.439319 0.508799 0.594901 0.699448 0.823179 0.982041
2026-01-25 0.339143 0.408437 0.491698 0.600158 0.739250 0.913753 1.152630
2026-02-01 0.302989 0.375427 0.465612 0.587728 0.751238 0.966216 1.276386
2026-02-08 0.280654 0.356461 0.453817 0.590250 0.780151 1.040739 1.435543
2026-02-15 0.259753 0.336910 0.438664 0.585548 0.797042 1.098469 1.575691
2026-02-22 0.244540 0.323332 0.429809 0.587804 0.822659 1.169673 1.742941
2026-03-01 0.228379 0.307000 0.415512 0.580447 0.832598 1.217351 1.877896
2026-03-08 0.213577 0.291389 0.400842 0.570873 0.837582 1.256834 2.003019
2026-03-15 0.198067 0.273673 0.381768 0.552883 0.827368 1.270273 2.084245
2026-03-22 0.192186 0.269495 0.382150 0.564486 0.864849 1.364947 2.320515
2026-03-29 0.186152 0.264627 0.381023 0.573375 0.898295 1.455725 2.561726
2026-04-05 0.179129 0.257971 0.376903 0.577408 0.924439 1.537484 2.800072
2026-04-12 0.172144 0.250962 0.371771 0.579348 0.947098 1.615426 3.043184
2026-04-19 0.166432 0.245556 0.368751 0.584438 0.975540 1.706861 3.328528
2026-04-26 0.157628 0.234762 0.356346 0.572403 0.971501 1.735074 3.480380
2026-05-03 0.152392 0.229380 0.352439 0.574845 0.994473 1.818844 3.770991
2026-05-10 0.146206 0.222118 0.344953 0.570292 1.003542 1.875089 4.006239
2026-05-17 0.141696 0.217361 0.341373 0.572477 1.025765 1.960998 4.328509
2026-05-24 0.135849 0.210089 0.333084 0.565352 1.028716 2.005684 4.554175
2026-05-31 0.130021 0.202580 0.323985 0.556081 1.026454 2.038516 4.754481
2026-06-07 0.123216 0.193123 0.311025 0.538656 1.005893 2.027917 4.835146
2026-06-14 0.121401 0.192114 0.312912 0.549895 1.046538 2.162714 5.349249